I expect every civilization the world has ever known never saw the bad times coming. Willful blindness is apparently an essential component of what it is to be human. If to err is human then I think of late it is the unconscious past-time of virtually every citizen of the developed world.
Don’t know what I mean? Well, look out your window at the building opposite you. It will seem unremarkable most likely, a building that could be almost anywhere in the world. The fact that it does so is remarkable. Is it not incredible that this virtually global tangible manifestation of uniformity should be before us yet we do not think about what it represents?
Ever heard the expression ‘don’t put all your eggs in the one basket’?
It is likely that the building you are looking at is made from brick or concrete. Bricks fired in kilns, concrete made using cement that has been fired in massive industrial complexes before being transported in a cheap energy vehicle to the construction site. The world over it’s done the same way. Globalization is perhaps just another way of saying one system, one market, one basket. Is it basket or basket-case I wonder?
It seems to me, and I may be wrong, that the building opposite you is a symbol of a world built on cheap energy with no consideration of how that energy, or the materials it processes, seeps into the environment and into you, into me. If it is a new building you can be certain that it was not built to last. You can be certain that it was not built to be deconstructed at the end of its life. It was not always so.
One of the reasons so many buildings in ancient times are mere shadows on aerial photos is that they were disassembled and their materials put to good use in providing a family with shelter, because it was cheaper in terms of energy expenditure than starting from scratch. Such is not the case now. Buildings now are designed to be reduced to unusable fragments, those fragments shoved under the corner of the carpet, out of sight out of mind.
Surely a case of all’s well before it ends badly.
Those who talk about the end of oil, the beginning of expensive energy and what this means to a civilization whose every artifact, whose every structure and machine requires cheap energy are mostly ignored. But consider that every aspect of your life is made possible by cheap energy, the house you live in, the plastic wrapped food you eat, the car you drive to work in the morning, the lights you leave on accidently when you go out. Now imagine what it means when energy becomes less abundant. I would imagine that like leprosy this energy starvation will affect the extremities first, the life blood of the system doesn’t make it all the way to the fingertips and slowly but surely they darken, atrophy and fall off.
Your government suddenly talking about nuclear energy begins to make more sense doesn’t it?
On the other hand is it forlorn attempt at maintaining a system that is increasingly unaffordable? It’s probably just my opinion, but I think I need to make arrangements while the going’s good. On the other hand if you look at insurance costs and security companies the signs are that I’m not wrong in my thinking. It’s likely that we’re heading towards market failure, bank runs and refugees fleeing those darkened extremities in their millions. The problem is that too many people are making too much money from the way things are. It’s rather like entrepreneurs selling the wood of the lifeboat you are sitting in. These men are feted for the moment “Neutron Jack” Welch – called this because like the neutron bomb he left buildings standing but killed people, Donald “Apprentice Master” Trump – whose genius was that he borrowed so much that his debt became the bank’s problem not his, and the master Entrepreneur Richard Branson, who is investing in space like he knows something the rest of us don’t.
I really need to get my act together, get a piece of land to call my own, make it more fertile than Eden, get my energy generation systems together before they can’t be bought for love nor money. But you know as well as I that the rich will be able to buy their way out of a dead end, but the rest of us will be like those who wandered the American heartland in the 30s with a sign saying will work for food. Back when the Berlin wall fell an American called Fukuyama said it was the end of history, that the evolution of our civilization had come to a close, there was no more.
Maybe he was a couple of decades too early?